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Red74
2727.3
34225.7
379215.9
Blue57
45618.7
496520.8
53819.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73634050607080901007457

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#6
27.30.0
27.327.4
Auto3.1
Teleop14.3
End9.9
red by 6.5
4965
#10
20.80.1
20.920.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.2
End3.7
Second
342
#4
25.70.0
25.825.8
Auto4.9
Teleop15.7
End5.1
red by 5.9
538
#22
19.80.1
19.919.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End5.5
Third
3792
#46
15.90.0
16.016.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End2.1
blue by 2.8
456
#12
18.70.1
18.818.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End7.1