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Red40
445128.7
44211.0
146616.9
Blue43
131911.6
395919.5
34225.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535540455060654043

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.71.2
24.423.2
Auto2.8
Teleop16.9
End9.0
red by 3.0
342
#4
25.70.8
22.321.4
Auto4.9
Teleop15.7
End5.1
Second
1466
#30
16.91.5
14.513.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End3.1
blue by 2.6
3959
#21
19.51.0
15.414.4
Auto5.0
Teleop13.2
End1.2
Third
442
#25
11.01.5
11.610.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End3.0
blue by 0.7
1319
#26
11.61.0
14.113.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsMissed