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Red47
146616.9
453318.2
297311.0
Blue40
401314.2
76939.9
278319.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4536010203040506070804740

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4533
#28
18.20.5
17.518.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End1.5
blue by 1.4
2783
#16
19.60.7
14.214.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End2.8
Second
1466
#30
16.90.5
13.013.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End3.1
red by 2.7
4013
#38
14.20.7
12.112.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.4
Third
2973
#42
11.00.5
11.812.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End2.5
red by 1.1
7693
#45
9.90.7
7.78.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed