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Red48
53819.8
492417.1
255620.5
Blue40
47646.7
711116.8
6312.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4041203050604840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2556
#11
20.51.1
11.012.2
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End2.8
red by 3.7
7111
#17Sur
16.80.2
12.812.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Second
538
#22
19.81.1
15.216.3
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End5.5
red by 7.2
63
#15
12.60.2
14.113.9
Auto2.1
Teleop6.3
End4.2
Third
4924
#14Sur
17.11.1
11.512.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.3
red by 10.4
4764
#55
6.70.2
12.212.0
Auto3.1
Teleop0.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed