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Red20
61458.0
541012.2
47408.5
Blue35
131911.6
54710.4
496520.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324410204050602035

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5410
#13
12.21.2
7.66.4
Auto5.2
Teleop2.4
End4.6
blue by 8.6
4965
#10
20.81.2
18.617.4
Auto5.9
Teleop11.2
End3.7
Second
4740
#49
8.51.5
12.811.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End1.9
blue by 3.1
1319
#26
11.61.7
13.111.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End2.4
Third
6145
#41
8.01.5
10.28.7
Auto4.4
Teleop0.8
End2.7
blue by 2.4
547
#40
10.41.7
10.08.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed