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Red9
744613.4
430611.4
73138.3
Blue85
1629.2
34225.7
278319.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3373020406080100985

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7446
#20
13.42.8
11.48.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End2.2
blue by 15.8
16
#1
29.21.0
28.629.7
Auto4.2
Teleop17.8
End7.2
Second
4306
#32
11.42.8
12.910.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 14.3
342
#4
25.71.2
24.125.2
Auto4.9
Teleop15.7
End5.1
Third
7313
#52
8.32.8
7.04.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End1.9
blue by 11.3
2783
#16
19.61.7
16.718.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed91%HAB Docking oddsEarned