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Red57
615716.3
281512.7
146616.9
Blue59
76939.9
541012.2
445128.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38430102030506070805759

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#30
16.92.0
12.114.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End3.1
blue by 11.8
28.71.2
25.526.8
Auto2.8
Teleop16.9
End9.0
Second
6157
#36
16.32.0
12.714.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End2.5
red by 4.1
5410
#13
12.21.5
6.47.9
Auto5.2
Teleop2.4
End4.6
Third
2815
#24
12.71.2
11.712.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End1.8
red by 2.8
7693
#45
9.92.0
8.610.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsEarned