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Red35
278319.6
379215.9
500513.5
Blue42
496520.8
47646.7
615716.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4444253035405055603542

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#16
19.60.7
14.914.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End2.8
blue by 1.2
4965
#10
20.80.0
18.918.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.2
End3.7
Second
3792
#46
15.90.6
14.714.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End2.1
blue by 0.3
6157
#36
16.30.0
11.411.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Third
5005
#37
13.50.7
11.911.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End2.7
red by 6.8
4764
#55
6.70.0
11.911.9
Auto3.1
Teleop0.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed