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Red82
34225.7
496520.8
23429.0
Blue20
381419.4
6312.6
50587.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75392060801008220

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#7
29.00.7
27.628.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End8.3
red by 9.6
19.41.1
15.514.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End6.6
Second
342
#4
25.70.7
25.226.0
Auto4.9
Teleop15.7
End5.1
red by 13.1
63
#15
12.61.9
12.610.7
Auto2.1
Teleop6.3
End4.2
Third
4965
#10
20.80.7
18.018.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.2
End3.7
red by 13.1
5058
#53
7.71.9
8.97.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsEarned32%HAB Docking oddsMissed