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Red35
50587.7
281512.7
430611.4
Blue22
47646.7
297311.0
313910.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323610204050603522

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#24
12.70.3
11.712.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End1.8
red by 1.8
2973
#42
11.01.4
14.513.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End2.5
Second
4306
#32
11.40.5
11.712.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End1.7
red by 1.4
3139
#47
10.01.4
9.07.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Third
5058
#53
7.70.5
7.07.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.6
red by 1.0
4764
#55
6.71.4
11.19.7
Auto3.1
Teleop0.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed