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Red60
54710.4
73138.3
3414.1
Blue49
218317.4
331914.3
50587.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39393035455055606049

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34
#29
14.11.4
13.412.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 3.4
2183
#23
17.40.2
13.513.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.3
End4.7
Second
547
#40
10.41.4
12.210.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End1.7
blue by 3.9
3319
#48
14.30.2
12.212.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Third
7313
#52
8.31.4
11.29.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End1.9
red by 0.6
5058
#53
7.70.2
11.311.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed