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Red42
218317.4
561613.4
281512.7
Blue50
500513.5
711116.8
496520.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424720305060704250

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#23
17.40.1
15.815.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.3
End4.7
blue by 3.4
4965
#10
20.80.2
19.519.6
Auto5.9
Teleop11.2
End3.7
Second
5616
#54
13.40.1
12.011.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.6
blue by 3.5
7111
#17
16.80.3
13.714.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Third
2815
#24
12.70.1
12.012.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End1.8
blue by 0.8
5005
#37
13.50.3
11.511.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed