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Red55
47408.5
36432.2
6312.6
Blue29
401314.2
281512.7
744613.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4636010203040506070805529

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#3
32.21.3
16.117.3
Auto5.8
Teleop19.4
End7.1
red by 18.0
4013
#38
14.20.6
12.712.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.4
Second
63
#15
12.61.3
15.216.5
Auto2.1
Teleop6.3
End4.2
blue by 0.7
7446
#20
13.44.8
14.39.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End2.2
Third
4740
#49
8.51.3
12.213.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End1.9
blue by 4.2
2815
#24
12.70.5
11.410.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed