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Red86
760521.7
774118.8
282631.7
Blue68
402722.2
270812.2
586020.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71592040801008668

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.3
29.229.4
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End8.6
red by 9.5
4027
#24
22.20.8
21.822.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.4
End6.3
Second
7605
#39
21.70.3
19.419.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End5.6
red by 1.3
5860
#59
20.40.8
22.323.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.3
End6.5
Third
7741
#42
18.80.3
18.518.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End4.5
red by 6.5
2708
#61
12.20.8
11.912.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned69%HAB Docking oddsEarned