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Red85
207719.9
603223.1
193726.2
Blue92
131033.2
172029.5
760521.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75892040601001201401608592

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1937
#46
26.20.1
25.825.9
Auto3.4
Teleop15.0
End7.8
blue by 7.0
1310
#11
33.20.5
33.133.7
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End10.0
Second
6032
#30
23.10.1
25.025.1
Auto3.5
Teleop15.4
End4.1
blue by 6.5
1720
#23
29.50.5
31.331.8
Auto5.6
Teleop16.4
End7.5
Third
2077
#32
19.90.1
20.320.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.4
End2.8
blue by 1.9
7605
#39
21.70.6
19.720.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsEarned95%HAB Docking oddsEarned