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Red76
368826.2
400424.7
567630.5
Blue106
132538.3
253930.6
540426.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87972040608012014016076106

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5676
#27
30.50.5
30.329.8
Auto4.7
Teleop20.2
End5.6
blue by 7.8
38.31.0
38.239.1
Auto5.1
Teleop27.9
End5.3
Second
3688
#29
26.20.5
27.927.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.4
End6.8
blue by 4.3
30.61.0
29.530.4
Auto4.0
Teleop19.3
End7.3
Third
4004
#62
24.70.5
24.624.1
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End4.0
blue by 1.4
5404
#18
26.01.0
23.924.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.6
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
19%Rocket oddsMissed47%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsMissed94%HAB Docking oddsEarned