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Red87
540634.4
318419.5
399619.6
Blue44
22229.6
470710.0
252619.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75644060801008744

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.41.1
34.435.5
Auto5.5
Teleop20.9
End8.1
red by 4.8
222
#12
29.61.1
30.529.4
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End6.9
Second
3996
#54
19.61.1
19.520.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End6.0
blue by 0.1
2526
#43
19.71.1
21.220.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End6.0
Third
3184
#21
19.51.1
17.018.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.1
End3.9
red by 9.6
4707
#58
10.01.1
9.07.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
17%Rocket oddsEarned33%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsMissed