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Red107
546041.5
164031.1
497624.6
Blue73
402722.2
172029.5
761719.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98786012010773

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.51.0
38.339.2
Auto5.3
Teleop28.6
End7.6
red by 12.0
1720
#23
29.50.2
31.831.6
Auto5.6
Teleop16.4
End7.5
Second
31.11.0
28.229.2
Auto5.4
Teleop19.3
End6.4
red by 8.8
4027
#24
22.20.2
23.423.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.4
End6.3
Third
4976
#26
24.61.0
26.227.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.3
End9.1
red by 5.6
7617
#55
19.10.2
18.318.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
65%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
93%HAB Docking oddsEarned87%HAB Docking oddsEarned