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Red113
223127.0
248135.4
164031.1
Blue44
760521.7
166011.5
399619.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9456408010012011344

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.41.6
31.933.5
Auto4.9
Teleop24.2
End6.3
red by 13.7
7605
#39
21.70.6
20.319.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End5.6
Second
31.11.6
29.230.8
Auto5.4
Teleop19.3
End6.4
red by 11.5
3996
#54
19.60.6
20.620.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End6.0
Third
2231
#25
27.01.6
27.729.3
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End5.8
red by 15.5
1660
#60
11.50.6
12.511.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
37%Rocket oddsEarned6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed