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Red66
118822.3
603223.1
353427.2
Blue109
567630.5
521629.2
568736.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81956010012014066109

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#44
27.20.7
26.726.0
Auto4.9
Teleop19.0
End3.3
blue by 8.7
5687
#10
36.01.3
30.531.8
Auto4.6
Teleop26.0
End5.4
Second
6032
#30
23.10.7
25.124.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.4
End4.1
blue by 7.5
5676
#27
30.51.3
29.831.1
Auto4.7
Teleop20.2
End5.6
Third
1188
#50
22.30.7
24.924.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End5.4
blue by 6.8
5216
#15
29.21.3
29.731.0
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed43%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed95%HAB Docking oddsEarned