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Red108
282631.7
257719.4
93032.4
Blue70
377021.4
392827.9
301530.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858260709010011010870

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#22
32.41.9
30.732.6
Auto3.6
Teleop22.4
End6.4
red by 2.4
3015
#16
30.00.5
29.228.7
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End8.2
Second
31.71.9
30.532.4
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End8.6
red by 3.9
3928
#45
27.90.5
28.027.5
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End7.5
Third
2577
#13
19.41.9
18.920.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End5.9
blue by 2.0
3770
#48
21.40.5
20.319.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
71%Rocket oddsEarned6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsEarned97%HAB Docking oddsEarned