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Red58
166011.5
761719.1
193726.2
Blue51
38424.2
132223.6
586020.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6077401001205851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1937
#46
26.20.1
26.927.0
Auto3.4
Teleop15.0
End7.8
red by 2.0
384
#33
24.21.7
26.124.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End6.7
Second
7617
#55
19.10.1
18.218.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End5.0
blue by 4.5
1322
#35
23.61.7
23.922.3
Auto5.1
Teleop14.3
End4.1
Third
1660
#60
11.50.1
11.711.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
blue by 8.9
5860
#59
20.41.7
22.721.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.3
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsMissed97%HAB Docking oddsMissed