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Red82
431121.9
248135.4
56420.7
Blue72
439126.9
318419.5
432521.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817430405060901001108272

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.40.3
34.234.5
Auto4.9
Teleop24.2
End6.3
red by 8.5
4391
#41
26.90.2
29.629.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.6
End6.5
Second
4311
#36
21.90.3
22.122.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End4.9
red by 0.6
4325
#52
21.40.2
21.521.6
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End6.6
Third
564
#37
20.70.3
20.520.8
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End6.3
red by 1.2
3184
#21
19.50.2
18.518.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
18%Rocket oddsEarned6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned90%HAB Docking oddsEarned