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Red57
603223.1
402722.2
377021.4
Blue46
252619.7
50924.0
785817.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7269506080905746

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6032
#30
23.10.7
24.824.1
Auto3.5
Teleop15.4
End4.1
blue by 0.9
509
#49
24.01.3
26.024.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End5.5
Second
4027
#24
22.20.7
23.522.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.4
End6.3
red by 2.5
2526
#43
19.71.3
20.619.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End6.0
Third
3770
#48
21.40.7
19.819.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.3
End5.2
red by 4.0
7858
#53
17.41.3
18.617.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsMissed