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Red88
172029.5
223127.0
774118.8
Blue62
631713.3
91037.2
680221.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848465707580858862

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#23
29.50.4
32.332.6
Auto5.6
Teleop16.4
End7.5
blue by 7.7
910
#8
37.21.2
38.537.4
Auto3.9
Teleop27.0
End6.4
Second
2231
#25
27.00.4
28.028.4
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End5.8
red by 5.1
6802
#57
21.91.2
27.226.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End6.5
Third
7741
#42
18.80.4
19.419.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End4.5
red by 5.4
6317
#67
13.31.2
13.812.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed52%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsEarned91%HAB Docking oddsEarned