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Red74
132538.3
193726.2
431121.9
Blue78
118822.3
50924.0
282631.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9386607080901001101207478

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.9
38.737.8
Auto5.1
Teleop27.9
End5.3
red by 6.6
31.70.4
33.533.1
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End8.6
Second
1937
#46
26.20.9
27.026.1
Auto3.4
Teleop15.0
End7.8
red by 2.2
509
#49
24.00.4
24.724.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End5.5
Third
4311
#36
21.90.9
22.521.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End4.9
blue by 0.4
1188
#50
22.30.4
22.922.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
45%Rocket oddsMissed21%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsMissed83%HAB Docking oddsEarned