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Red43
776716.8
408717.4
460316.9
Blue80
299219.3
303922.3
208016.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5560405070804380

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.40.3
17.617.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End6.7
blue by 4.9
22.30.3
22.022.3
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End6.2
Second
4603
#22
16.90.3
17.116.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End2.0
blue by 2.4
2992
#13
19.30.3
19.019.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End6.4
Third
16.80.3
17.116.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End3.5
red by 0.6
2080
#26
16.20.3
15.916.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End4.6