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Red42
198213.3
235714.1
543715.3
Blue34
613112.0
76559.3
685511.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3827010203050604234

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5437
#18
15.30.7
12.813.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End2.0
red by 3.3
6131
#53
12.01.0
10.211.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End3.4
Second
2357
#23
14.10.7
10.911.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End3.0
red by 2.3
6855
#54
11.81.0
8.89.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End1.4
Third
1982
#19
13.30.7
11.812.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End3.6
red by 4.0
7655
#48
9.31.0
6.27.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed