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Red36
710610.5
17239.7
460316.9
Blue34
613112.0
78965.4
408717.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833102040503634

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4603
#22
16.91.0
10.811.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End2.0
blue by 0.5
17.40.4
14.514.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End6.7
Second
7106
#50
10.51.0
8.39.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.8
End1.9
blue by 1.5
6131
#53
12.00.4
11.712.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End3.4
Third
1723
#42
9.71.0
7.88.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End1.9
red by 4.3
7896
#51
5.40.4
4.64.9
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsEarned