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Red45
393727.2
408717.4
361618.4
Blue48
791012.1
32321.3
303922.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4842203060704548

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.0
16.716.6
Auto3.9
Teleop18.5
End4.8
red by 4.9
22.30.9
14.615.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End6.2
Second
18.40.0
14.814.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.3
End6.1
blue by 2.9
323
#2
21.30.9
14.815.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End6.1
Third
17.40.0
13.813.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End6.7
red by 5.2
7910
#35
12.11.1
12.111.0
Auto5.7
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsEarned