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Red43
78428.9
235714.1
299219.3
Blue36
17239.7
500211.7
776716.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32332025303540454336

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#13
19.31.4
13.815.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End6.4
red by 2.5
16.80.5
11.111.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End3.5
Second
2357
#23
14.11.4
11.512.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End3.0
red by 2.3
5002
#43
11.70.5
11.211.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End2.9
Third
7842
#41
8.91.4
5.36.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.1
End3.0
blue by 0.9
1723
#42
9.70.5
8.89.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed