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Red34
39469.3
74597.1
545410.8
Blue32
399113.3
72636.6
685511.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342710203040503432

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#25
10.80.1
13.413.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 2.5
3991
#36
13.30.4
10.811.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.4
End2.4
Second
3946
#28
9.30.1
11.811.7
Auto4.8
Teleop1.1
End3.4
blue by 2.5
6855
#54
11.80.4
10.110.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End1.4
Third
7459
#45
7.10.1
6.66.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End2.1
red by 0.5
7263
#58
6.60.4
4.65.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed