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Red34
664016.2
780411.2
198213.3
Blue23
658612.5
17239.7
433612.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393802060803423

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.3
13.413.0
Auto5.3
Teleop6.1
End4.9
red by 3.7
6586
#10
12.51.4
12.511.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End2.4
Second
1982
#19
13.30.3
13.513.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End3.6
red by 1.3
4336
#11
12.01.4
13.812.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End3.2
Third
7804
#24
11.20.3
10.19.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End3.2
red by 1.5
1723
#42
9.71.4
9.37.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed