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Red43
500211.7
399113.3
543715.3
Blue44
596513.9
748310.2
460316.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4137203050604344

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5437
#18
15.30.4
15.415.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End2.0
blue by 1.6
4603
#22
16.90.9
14.515.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End2.0
Second
3991
#36
13.30.4
11.712.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.4
End2.4
blue by 0.6
5965
#17
13.90.9
11.212.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End2.7
Third
5002
#43
11.70.4
12.012.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End2.9
red by 1.6
7483
#39
10.20.9
9.310.2
Auto4.5
Teleop2.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed