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Red30
235714.1
780411.2
30114.0
Blue36
74307.7
78965.4
208016.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3126010204050603036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#23
14.10.1
14.014.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End3.0
blue by 2.2
2080
#26
16.21.1
14.015.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End4.6
Second
7804
#24
11.20.1
11.111.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End3.2
red by 3.5
7430
#29
7.71.1
6.67.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End0.1
Third
3011
#49
4.00.1
3.94.0
Auto2.3
Teleop0.2
End1.6
blue by 1.4
7896
#51
5.41.1
4.35.4
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed