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Red53
788411.7
65759.5
558417.8
Blue72
598527.3
477418.1
313227.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417620601005372

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End4.3
blue by 9.5
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto5.4
Teleop15.3
End6.6
Second
7884
Unranked
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
blue by 15.3
3132
Unranked
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.3
End4.3
Third
6575
Unranked
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 8.6
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking odds85%HAB Docking odds