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Red29
605012.4
559315.6
758310.9
Blue11
473910.1
48023.6
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412502060802911

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5593
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End5.5
red by 5.5
4739
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End1.6
Second
6050
Unranked
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End4.7
red by 2.7
6434B
Unranked
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End2.0
Third
7583
Unranked
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End3.4
red by 7.3
4802
Unranked
3.60.0
3.63.6
Auto1.4
Teleop2.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
70%HAB Docking odds7%HAB Docking odds