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Red43
587614.8
758310.9
65759.5
Blue28
48019.5
657918.2
788411.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374202060801004328

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5876
Unranked
14.80.0
14.814.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End4.9
blue by 3.4
6579
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Second
7583
Unranked
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End3.4
blue by 0.9
7884
Unranked
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
Third
6575
Unranked
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Level
4801
Unranked
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking odds21%HAB Docking odds