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Red44
603510.2
643419.3
559315.6
Blue54
651024.8
47298.6
453715.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48520204060801001204454

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6434
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End4.1
blue by 5.5
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End8.8
Second
5593
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End5.5
red by 0.1
4537
Unranked
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End2.3
Third
6035
Unranked
10.20.0
10.210.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End1.7
red by 1.6
4729
Unranked
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking odds51%HAB Docking odds