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Red42
313227.0
743324.1
788411.7
Blue58
605012.4
651024.8
756114.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6654204060801001204258

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
Unranked
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.3
End4.3
red by 2.2
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End8.8
Second
7433
Unranked
24.10.0
24.124.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End8.8
red by 10.1
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Third
7884
Unranked
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
blue by 0.7
6050
Unranked
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking odds76%HAB Docking odds