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Red56
756114.0
558417.8
Blue48
473910.1
453715.5
758310.9
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443802060801005648

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End4.3
red by 2.3
4537
Unranked
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End2.3
Second
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End1.5
red by 3.2
7583
Unranked
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End3.4
Third
6434B
Unranked
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End2.0
blue by 0.4
4739
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking odds8%HAB Docking odds