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Red32
461410.5
453715.5
657918.2
Blue24
605012.4
48019.5
313227.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47520204060803224

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6579
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 8.8
3132
Unranked
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.3
End4.3
Second
4537
Unranked
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End2.3
red by 3.1
6050
Unranked
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End4.7
Third
4614
Unranked
10.50.0
10.510.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End3.2
red by 1.0
4801
Unranked
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking odds38%HAB Docking odds