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Red40
461328.4
559315.6
712815.8
Blue24
643419.3
758310.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6342020801004024

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.6
End8.3
red by 9.1
6434
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End4.1
Second
7128
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End3.4
red by 4.9
7583
Unranked
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End3.4
Third
5593
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End5.5
red by 6.0
6434B
Unranked
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
91%HAB Docking odds35%HAB Docking odds