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Red63
651022.4
713025.3
605012.4
Blue55
657919.8
559315.6
313218.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64562040801006355

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.1
25.425.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End8.2
red by 5.5
6579
#13
19.80.0
19.719.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End3.5
Second
22.40.1
22.522.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End7.0
red by 4.4
3132
#18
18.00.0
17.918.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End2.0
Third
6050
#16
12.40.1
12.512.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End4.7
blue by 3.2
5593
#10
15.60.0
15.515.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End5.5