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Red23
651022.4
764110.7
551614.5
Blue46
461324.9
76448.6
727810.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3844102030506070802346

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.5
14.012.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End7.0
blue by 2.5
24.91.9
17.315.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End7.8
Second
5516
#30
14.51.5
12.110.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End2.2
red by 4.0
7278
#37
10.51.9
14.012.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Third
7641
#36
10.72.0
10.78.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End1.9
red by 2.1
7644
#38
8.60.4
8.68.1
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed