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Red45
716314.2
530810.5
545121.5
Blue90
608318.1
461324.9
752621.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374110203050607080904590

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.1
12.713.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End6.9
blue by 3.4
24.93.1
15.418.5
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End7.8
Second
7163
#31
14.21.1
12.413.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.6
blue by 7.0
7526
#15
21.23.1
10.413.5
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End4.7
Third
5308
#29
10.51.1
9.710.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 7.6
6083
#33
18.13.1
13.216.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsEarned