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Red23
712418.1
48019.5
388112.1
Blue49
759313.7
477421.0
763610.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403802060802349

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7124
#12
18.12.0
14.012.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End4.4
blue by 2.9
21.01.1
14.215.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End7.0
Second
3881
#28
12.12.0
12.110.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 1.6
7593
#27
13.71.1
11.812.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Third
4801
#32
9.52.0
11.99.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End3.6
blue by 1.3
7636
#25
10.80.4
10.811.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed