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Red38
657919.8
712418.1
763610.8
Blue20
530810.5
764110.7
712815.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42351020305060703820

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6579
#13Sur
19.80.2
16.716.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End3.5
red by 4.0
7128
#34
15.81.4
12.511.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End3.4
Second
7124
#12
18.10.2
12.011.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End4.4
red by 7.4
7641
#36Sur
10.71.4
9.48.0
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End1.9
Third
7636
#25
10.80.2
11.211.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4
red by 0.4
5308
#29
10.51.4
10.99.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed