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Red50
763215.2
651022.4
758314.9
Blue57
545121.5
652012.9
598525.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424810203060705057

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.2
15.016.1
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End7.0
blue by 3.3
25.71.3
18.719.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End6.9
Second
7632
#21
15.21.2
12.813.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End3.8
blue by 6.3
21.51.3
13.815.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End6.9
Third
7583
#22
14.91.2
11.913.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.3
End2.9
red by 2.0
6520
#17
12.91.3
13.114.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsEarned