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Red54
763610.8
752714.9
545121.5
Blue46
759313.7
48023.8
657919.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45400102030506070805446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.0
18.319.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End6.9
red by 1.7
6579
#13
19.80.4
18.718.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End3.5
Second
7527
#14
14.91.0
13.614.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.5
red by 1.2
7593
#27
13.70.4
13.212.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Third
7636
#25
10.81.0
10.211.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4
red by 7.0
4802
#40
3.80.4
5.65.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed